Predicting the Chiefs’ final record for the 2022 NFL season

Even though the NFL OTAs haven’t even started, we’re ready to attribute the wins and losses to the schedule that just came out of each team. It may be overkill, but it’s fun!

So let’s look at the Kansas City Chiefs’ 2022 regular season schedule, predicting the results will culminate in a final record at the end.

All times are arrowhead time.


Week 1: at Arizona Cardinals

Sunday, September 11, noon, CBS

In opening week, the Chiefs have a built-in advantage: The Cardinals will be without star receiver DeAndre Hopkins, who will be out for the first six weeks of the season. Their defense has playmakers in the back end, but lost edge rusher Chandler Jones in free agency. Arizona head coach Kliff Kingsbury is known for his quick starts, but the Chiefs do it better — and do it on the road.

Victory of the Chiefs (1-0)


Week 2: cons Los Angeles Chargers

Thursday, September 15, 7:15 p.m., Amazon

I think that’s another advantage of the calendar for the Chiefs: they play their only Thursday night football clash very early – and at home. I believe the Chargers are the biggest threat to Kansas City’s AFC West throne. Both teams know how important this game is – and because of that, I wouldn’t be surprised if either had a disappointment in Week 1. But the Chiefs are making an early statement in the division. .

Victory of the Chiefs (2-0)


Week 3: at Indianapolis Colts

Sunday, September 18, noon, CBS

The Colts should be considered an AFC playoff contender. If they improve at quarterback (with Matt Ryan replacing Carson Wentz this season), they’ll be firmly in the game. It’s a rough start to the game on the road, but Kansas City will always be the better team.

Victory for the Chiefs (3-0)


Week 4: at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Sunday, October 2, 7:20 p.m., NBC

It will be a great game. There’s no evidence that Tom Brady was physically ready for retirement — and there’s not much reason to think Tampa Bay will be any worse this year. With the Buccaneers having continuity on their side, this early season battle is up to them.

Chiefs lose (3-1)


Week 5: Cons Las Vegas Raiders

Monday, October 10, 7:15 p.m., ESPN

While the Chiefs may not have the same target on their backs as defending champions AFC, the division’s enemies will always be ready for anything against them – and that’s what I see the Raiders do here. I could see new head coach Josh McDaniels going all out, creating a huge upset – making this game Kansas City’s annual and frustrating loss in early October.

Chiefs lose (3-2)


Week 6: cons Buffalo Tickets

Sunday, October 16, 3:25 p.m., CBS

Buffalo is currently the favorite to win both the conference and the Super Bowl, replacing Kansas City as the bettors’ favorite AFC team. Last season they arrived at Arrowhead in the same part of the season and put the game aside in the third quarter – but in 2022 the Chiefs have already beaten Buffalo at home once. Here they give an inspiring performance to redo.

Victory for the Chiefs (4-2)


Week 7: at San Francisco 49ers

Sunday, October 23, 3:25 p.m., FOX

Heading to the West Coast, the Chiefs will play three very tough games – and can see the Week 8 bye on the horizon. The 49ers are a very solid team – and with Kyle Shanahan maximizing his ability, quarterback Trey Lance could become his. For a team feeling the effects of an early season glove, it could add up to a tough loss on the road.

Chiefs lose (4-3)


Week 9: Cons Tennessee Titans

Sunday, November 6, 7:20 p.m., NBC

The bye week record signals a theme I think we could see early in the season: a tough schedule combined with a team getting used to new players in different positions. Still, I’m confident the team will find their groove – and what better time to do so than a home, Sunday night football matchup out of the week off?

Victory for the Chiefs (5-3)


Week 10: cons Jacksonville Jaguars

Sunday, November 13, noon, CBS

I think the Jaguars will be a surprisingly competitive team in 2022. Doug Pederson is a good coach, and Trevor Lawrence will look much better under him. It could be a tough match – but Andy Reid picks up another victory against a former assistant.

Victory for the Chiefs (6-3)


Week 11: Los Angeles Chargers

Sunday, Nov. 20, 3:25 p.m. CBS

It’s very possible that at this point, Los Angeles has a better record than Kansas City, even if the Chiefs win Game 1. It’s going to be very hard to sweep the Chargers, but the Chiefs could do it. That said, I’ll still give Los Angeles a slight edge to tie the season streak.

Chiefs lose (6-4)


Week 12: against Los Angeles Rams

Sunday, November 27, 3:25 p.m., FOX

The Sunday after Thanksgiving, NFL fans are treated to a delayed dessert: the first clash between the Chiefs and the Rams since the unforgettable 2018 Monday night football game in Los Angeles. This time it will be at Arrowhead – but it might feature the same kind of fireworks. At a time when they might feel like their backs are against the wall, the Chiefs are back in the win column.

Victory for the Chiefs (7-4)


Week 13: at Cincinnati Bengals

Sunday, December 4, 3:25 p.m., CBS

After losing to Cincinnati in Week 17 and last season’s AFC Championship, the Chiefs (and their fans) see the Bengals as a very notable opponent. At this end of the season, the revenge factor could easily have worn off – but it could also be a jerk in the arm for returning players to rise for a big game. I think they get one against Cincinnati.

Victory for the Chiefs (8-4)


Week 14: at Denver Broncos

Sunday, December 11, 7:20 p.m., NBC

These two AFC West foes will play for the first time this season – in mid-December. If I had to attribute that as an advantage to one team, it would be the Broncos. Quarterback Russell Wilson will have had time to get comfortable in the system with his receivers. At the same time, Wilson has a habit of starting seasons at an MVP pace, but then waning. I’m going to predict Kansas City will keep its stranglehold on this rivalry, winning its 14th straight game against Denver.

Victory for the Chiefs (9-4)


Week 15: at Houston Texans

Sunday, December 18, noon, CBS

At the very end of a three game road trip – four road games in five weeks in total – it could be a disappointment. However, it is at the end of the season. This Chiefs team will remain focused on earning their fourth straight win.

Victory of the Chiefs (10-4)


Week 16: cons Seattle Seahawks

Sunday, December 24, Noon, FOX

I really don’t see the Seahawks being a legitimate contender this season. Pete Carroll is a great coach, but there’s not much you can do with their quarterback situation: Drew Lock and Geno Smith. The Chiefs receive a Christmas present in the form of a fifth consecutive victory.

Victory for the Chiefs (11-4)


Week 17: Against the Denver Broncos

Sunday, January 1, noon, CBS

That’s where Denver could have an advantage: playing against the Chiefs just three weeks before this game. With both teams still in the mix for the division, this game should mean everything to both teams – and I can see that being the true validation of the Wilson trade. Denver knocks out one to split the season series.

Chiefs lose (11-5)


Week 18: at the Las Vegas Raiders

saturday 7 january or Sunday, Jan. 8, time TBD, CBS

Heading into this game, it’s very possible the Raiders are in the playoff mix – and the Chiefs need a win, too. I think Andy Reid is making sure to avoid a season-long sweep of a division rival, clinching a playoff berth — whether through a division title or not.

Victory for the Chiefs (12-5)


Final record: 12-5

I have the Chiefs splitting each division series, making their AFC West record 3-3. Considering the difficulty of the division, that’s fair. Even if the Chiefs can find a way to sweep one team, it’s possible for another team to beat them twice. The Chargers almost did it last season.

After taking into account the gauntlet of a division, the two remaining losses can be simplified with this logic: is it fair to expect only one defeat against these seven teams?

  • Foals
  • Buccaneers
  • Invoices
  • 49ers
  • Titans
  • Rams
  • bengals

Another way of looking at it: the Chiefs have toughest eight-game opening streak in NFL history. For a team adjusting to new parts (and a new look), 5-3 will be a solid record to start this season.

So that’s where the 12-5 comes from. That might not be enough to win the division – but then again, it might be. Considering how these teams are likely to battle over the course of the year, 12-5 could be enough to give the Chiefs a seventh straight AFC West title.


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