‘Top Gun: Maverick’ Could Upset ‘Elvis’ At Weekend Box Office As Tom Cruise Pic Hits $500 Million In US

Cast sources say there’s a chance Paramount/Skydance Top Gun: Maverick could top the box office this weekend in its fifth run with $32 million, down 28% week-over-week.

This will easily send the Tom Cruise movie past half a billion at the domestic box office; the pic is already the actor’s biggest-grossing of all time with more than $900 million worldwide. Top Gun 2 continued to lead today’s advance ticket sales in the US, I hear.

Should Top Gun 2 fly with $30 million+, it will top Baz Luhrmann-led Warner Bros’ $85 million Elviswho is eyeing Over $20 millionand the $16 million horror flick directed by Universal/Blumhouse’s Scott Derrickson black phone, who spots $15 million$20 million.

Mixed we have the third weekend of Jurassic World Dominionwho looks around $29M51%, and Disney/Pixar’s second weekend Light year, which is also expected to decline by 51% to $25 million.

The good news in all of this is the depth and diversity of box office activities and products; it’s possible that five films will make more than $20 million each. It’s another great sign for the exhibit that cinema is still the most affordable form of entertainment, even in an inflation-fueled economy. NRG also reported this week that 88% of all moviegoers are very or somewhat comfortable going to cinemas, the highest score in the Covid era. Comscore last weekend called $165 million for all ticket sales in the United States and Canada, 21% ahead of the same period in 2019. This remains the barometric year that continues to determine when we fully recovered from the pandemic box office blues.

“Elvis”
Warner Bros.

Elvis, despite a stellar world premiere reception at Cannes with the film festival’s longest standing ovation, faces an uphill battle. I understand that there is a gap between a certain interest and a total awareness and a spontaneous awareness for the film. The film is older and longer at 2 hours and 39 minutes. Consider the fact that someone who is 50 was 5 when Elvis Presley died.

Should Elvis opened north of $20 million in 3,900 theaters, it would arguably be the biggest opening for an adult demo-scale release with that runtime during the pandemic (Gucci House was 2 hours and 38 minutes and debuted for a total of $14.4 million over three days). Among the non-franchised entries intended for adults, the lost city, with an opening of $30.4 million, is the best we’ve seen during the pandemic. Are die-hard Elvis fans dating? The over-60 crowd has been hard to come by during the pandemic. You could say they’re out and they’re going Top Gun 2. Elvis is 83% certified fresh, higher than Lurhmann’s previous specification in 2013 Gatsby the magnificent (48% Rotten) which debuted at $50 million.

Some see a $30 million opening for Elvis. Even by Tom Hanks openness standards for his non-franchise adult films, it’s huge and would rank up there with debuts such as defile ($35M), Saving Private Ryan ($31M) and Catch Me If You Can ($30 million) and ahead of the actor’s recent films A beautiful day in the neighborhood ($13.2M) and Captain Phillips ($25.7 million).

Fever and AMC offered a special promotion for $10.99 tickets for Elvis. Warner Bros has been promoting this film non-stop from Cannes, including a premiere at Graceland, has the full support of the Presley family, and provided fantastic late-night appearances for Austin Butler, who plays Elvis sublimely on screen… and outside.

Check out Butler teaching Fallon how to dance like the King of Rock n’ Roll:

There was an early access fan event for Elvis last night in some cities. Thursday previews begin at 5 p.m. in 3,200 locations. The picture will play in PLF, Dolby, Screen X, motion seats and drive-in, while Light year sponge all Imax auditoriums.

The black phone

“The Black Phone”
Universal

The black phone hopes to hook the 17-34 crowd. The pic is 85% fresh on Rotten Tomatoes, which is healthy for a Blumhouse horror movie on the review aggregation site. Ethan Hawke stars as a masked man who abducts young children from the basement of his house. That is, until he kidnaps the wrong kid who receives clues from the killer’s previous victims on a disconnected phone. Blumhouse’s last big opening in recent memory with an R rating and intended for this teen demo was pre-pandemic Mom, which debuted at $18 million in May 2019. It was only 56% rotten. black phoneThe screenplay is by Derrickson and C. Robert Cargill (strange doctor,Claim franchise), based on the award-winning short story by Joe Hill from hisNew York TimesBestseller 20th century ghosts.

Monday, June 19 saw Box Office Mojo’s Top 10 Movies gross $24.8 million, making it the second-biggest Monday of the summer so far (since early May) after Memorial Day, which saw the top 10 movies gross $45.5 million.

Jurassic World Dominion

(LR) Zia Rodriguez (Daniella Pineda) and Franklin Webb (Justice Smith) in “Jurassic World Dominion”
Universal

During the four-day holiday weekend, Jurassic World Dominion led with $67.7 million. The Universal/Amblin movie topped all titles on Tuesday with $7.1 million, bringing its running total to $266 million.

Top Gun 2 was second on Tuesday with $5.99 million and a cumulative total of $480.7 million. The photo posted a four-day holiday catch of $52.55 million.

Light year posted a total of $57.1 million over four days. It made $5.86 million on Tuesday, ranking third, with a cumulative total of $63 million.


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